Civilization #6: Elite Overproduction and the Bronze Age Collapse

Predictive History
Oct 8, 2024
8 notes
8 Notes in this Video

Bronze Age Trade Network as Globalized System

BronzeAge TradeNetworks Globalization
02:19

Mycenaean Greece, Hittite Empire, Egypt, Canaan, Cyprus, Crete, plus distant partners in Britain, Iberia, Afghanistan, and India formed interconnected trading civilizations around 1200 BC. These societies engaged in trade, piracy, and warfare simultaneously.

Sea Peoples and Systemic Collapse Theory

SeaPeoples SystemicCollapse MultiCausal
09:12

Sea Peoples, mysterious raiders documented in Egyptian records, attacked Bronze Age civilizations around 1200 BC. Mycenaean Greece, Hittite Empire, Canaanite cities all fell within decades. Only Egypt survived but lost hegemonic status permanently.

Elite Overproduction Theory

EliteOverproduction SystemicCollapse HistoricalPatterns
15:05

Societal elites across civilizations, from Bronze Age palatial economies to Mayan societies, consistently follow this pattern. The theory applies universally to complex societies where hereditary or rent-seeking elites control resources.

Social Contract Breakdown in Bronze Age Societies

SocialContract PoliticalStability Revolution
24:24

Elites extracted rents and taxes from populations in exchange for providing public goods: temples, feasts, infrastructure, and protection. When elites failed obligations while increasing extraction, populations rebelled, overthrew kings, and abandoned societies.

Rent-Seeking Behavior in Ancient Economies

RentSeeking EconomicExtraction EliteClass
25:56

Landlords, kings, and hereditary elites extracted wealth through land ownership and taxation without productive contribution. Farmers and laborers produced crops and goods while elites collected portions as rent, creating asymmetric wealth flows.

Debt Accumulation in Ancient Societies

Debt EconomicCycles SocialInstability
27:02

Farmers and peasants borrowed from landlords and elites during bad harvests or economic downturns. Inability to repay created cascading debt cycles, eventually forcing borrowers into slavery or servitude when obligations became unpayable.

Palace Economy System in Mycenaean Societies

PalaceEconomy CentralizedControl ResourceDistribution
39:02

Warrior elites descended from Yamnaya culture controlled Mycenaean Greece and Hittite Empire through palace-centered economies. Kings and palace administrators collected, stored, and redistributed all economic production through centralized authority.

Hereditary Elite Stability Paradox

HereditaryElite InstitutionalDesign CompetitiveAdvantage
45:49

Societies with permanent hereditary elites—those where elite status passes through families rather than merit—dominated Bronze Age world despite eventual collapse. Egalitarian societies existed but couldn’t compete at scale with hierarchical kingdoms.